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The New York Times has Republican nominee Donald Trump at a 54 percent chance of winning some time after 9:30 p.m. Tuesday.
Earlier in the night Clinton was projected to win by a handy margin, but the forecast changed to a toss-up and then switched to favor a Trump win. The chart below illustrates the quick and dramatic turn in the NYT forecast.
Trump is considered likely to win North Carolina and Florida, two huge pickups that could swing the race. Real Clear Politics has Donald Trump at a 49.4 percent chance of winning, and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton at a 46.6 percent chance of winning as of 9:30 p.m. Tuesday evening.
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